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Unconfirmed

When you believe in something you’ll look hard for evidence to back it up. Politics is a natural game of bias, a perpetual rush to corroborate what is only a mere opinion.

Meanwhile, an open mind sticks to nothing but sidedness. A non-combative person chooses the middle to avoid strife but suffers from indecisiveness. People that hesitate dwell in anxiety.

Then there’s those people that just pick the best answer knowing that it’s in their best interest to choose and be proven wrong. There’s no such thing as a perfect choice, just decisions to keep moving forward.

But you always leave room for rebellion. When shit hits the fan, standing up for what’s right debunks bias, shields against the whisperers, and fights conformity. When you take a stand, the world sits still to listen.

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Imperial Overstretch

There’s a reason countries like the US, Britain, and Rome collapse from preeminence: you can’t do everything and be everything to everybody.

In addition to distracting you from priorities, taking on more than you can chew slows down your reaction time. When you finally do commit, the effort is either too late or half-assed.

Hegemony only lasts as long as there’s real hard power, plus a strong will to be #1. Flexing your muscles signifies nothing.

There’s nothing wrong with a fear of failure as long as the inherent goal is to do the world some good. Doing the right thing is all that matters. It’s just that the best ideas fail to work out.

“Putinism is a bad idea that must be countered by a good one.”James Traub

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Ride the Dragon

Options are neither bad nor good; you really don’t know until you test one out and can look back and evaluate your decision.

But when you listen to other people and let them decide for you rather than listening and deciding for yourself you get caught in a web of confusion.

Never outsource your decisions. The right decision is the one that is personal, practical, and a bit risky.

Decision making is a combination of what you know, what you think you know, and what you think you’ll venture into.

The only certainty you have is your own courage. Life is too unpredictable. The outcome of your decision depends of your own diligence, passion, perspective, and luck.

Few things feel right in the beginning. In fact, that first opportunity might not be the best. But you can’t possibly know what you want until you try.

First you decide and then you deduce. After all, the right answer is a function of the mistakes you make.

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Testing the Confirmation Bias

We always apply what we want to hear to own our bias. That’s why it’s important to be open-minded and to remind ourselves to see the other side.

Intelligent people are able to juggle contradiction yet pursue a direction they think is right or best. Imagine all the information the President gets surrounding certain issues. He still has to make the best decision and justify his position all the while knowing he could be wrong.

We ultimately have to choose a side and do the work to produce an outcome that tests our decisions. The right answer is process of piecing together the wrong ones and fixing them.

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McDonald’s Theory

via giphy

I use a trick with co-workers when we’re trying to decide where to eat for lunch and no one has any ideas. I recommend McDonald’s.

I call it the McDonald’s Theory: people are inspired to come up with good ideas to ward off bad ones.

Deduction is a pathway to decision-making.

In order to define what you want, it helps to know what you really dislike first. Acknowledging the antithesis is a smart way to jumpstart creative thinking around practicable alternatives.

Decide, then deduce; even when you need reassurance.