Whether Weather

Weather is fickle. Knowing what it is or going to be before you go outside both saves and ruins the day.

Weather forecasts save your day when it storms because you’ll have packed an umbrella or extra rain jacket. However, weather predictions disappoint you when the day turns out dry; you just lugged around extra protection all day for nothing.

Expectation initiates preparation. The whole point of knowing the future is to prevent it. But even if you prepare nothing you’ll still survive. There’s always a way to circumvent bad weather; you can take transportation or merely stay inside, walk between buildings. You’re just as fortunate not knowing what’s to come and living as is.

You can deal with forecasts now and prepare, wait and see what happens, or ignore the forecast completely and just adapt. It all works out in the end.

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The Flaws of Forecasting

What works today won’t necessarily work tomorrow. In other words, success may just be a matter of luck.

Crashes result when overconfidence endangers risk. Predictability is vulnerable, a loose formula for how things usually go. Caution and adaptability on the other hand, better prepare for the unpredictable.

Forecasting is a means to an end. We’re urged to nail down certainty so we can keep moving forward. Rightness is therefore always at risk, as is wrongness. Apparently we always have to decide.

Why blogging still matters in business – and always will. — euansemple.com

“It is much simpler and much more powerful. It is about developing our awareness, our communication skills, and our collective intelligence. It is about thinking harder and writing better. Blogging is a means by which to rediscover your voice, to learn to share your thoughts with others, and by doing so to help us all get smarter faster.”

There’s too much noise and ephemeral thoughts on the Internet (thanks Twitter). Blogging is the exercise of making some sense of it all. I do my best on this blog to draw conclusions about tech, social media, and music as well as make predictions where those things are headed next.

And I’m willing to be wrong.