There isn’t a perfect time, place, nor medium to write out our ideas. But it has to get recorded somewhere as a sketch, an iPhone note, or as a sticky as the first step toward execution.
The heart to start is easier said than done. The trick is to avoid the perils of thinking too logically in the beginning. All ideas exist in rough draft before we can test, tweak, market, and sell the idea to see it actually works.
The struggle for answers and subsequent failures is where all the learning takes place.
Good things take time. If we all settled for immediate results, there would be no Apple, Amazon, or Tesla.
The world’s best leaders are visionaries. They work years ahead, having planted the seeds for what’s happening now to springboard them into the future.
When asked in 2018 what he thinks when analysts congratulate him on a “good quarter”, Jeff Bezos said:
“Those quarterly results were fully baked three years ago. Today I’m working on a quarter that will happen in 2020, not next quarter. Next quarter is done already and it’s probably been done for a couple years…If we have a good quarter it’s because of work we did 3, 4, 5 years ago. It’s not because we did a good job this quarter.”
So what type of futurists should we be, the tortoise or the hare, the fox or the hedgehog?
Get ready to go years being misunderstood.
PS. Watch a young Jeff Bezos outline his vision for Amazon way back in 1997 right here.
This is neat. There’s a special kind of concrete called Topmix Permeable that acts like a giant sponge to soak up as much as 880 gallons of water per minute. The material permits water to drain through the voids to prevent the puddles you’d see created on ordinary concrete.
It seems like a practicable solution to prevent urban flooding and cars from hydroplaning on the highway.
I’m no longer amazed by technology and social media, which the former makes possible. We live in the era of Murphy’s Law where the processor doubles every 6 months. When Elon Musk introduced Hyperloop, it made sense, a big egg that shoots you on a smooth roller coaster ride from city to city in no time. Apple’s iWatch is an extension of the smartphone but it’s made for the wrist.
But the Smartphone, now that was groundbreaking. You mean I can carry around a computer on the go in my pocket? Everything after that is merely an extension of “smart.” Smart machines like Nest are just an extension of the Internet of things. Cars are ripe to be made “smart.”
Everything that gets created today is a transformation of something that already exists. I’m not belittling incremental innovation. What I’m saying is that I’m not surprised these innovations are happening. They’re the logical next step.
Whatever we dream can become a reality for us. So can what we predict. Just look at what came before us, reshape it, and then magnify it.